Euro Growth Indicator

Archive 2015

Euro Growth Indicator December 2015

Euro area growth continues strong

Euro area growth is expected to be strong in the winter quarters 2015-2016, according to the December EUROGROWTH Indicator. The Indicator points to 0.7 per cent growth for the fourth quarter of 2015, which is unchanged from the November estimate. The first estimate for the first quarter growth in 2016 is a bit lower at 0.5 per cent. In year-on-year terms, the growth rates for the two forecast quarters are both 1.8 per cent, which would be the strongest growth since the summer of 2011.

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Euro Growth Indicator November 2015

Recovery in the euro area set to continue for the time being

According to the November EUROGROWTH indicator, growth in the euro area will accelerate in the second half of 2015 and grow by 0.7 per cent both in the third and in the fourth quarter of 2015, which would be the strongest performance in 4 1/2 years. The foundation of the upturn, however, still looks fragile as much of the current momentum is due to external shocks that may have run their course.

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Euro Growth Indicator October 2015

Recovery in the euro area, but until when?

According to the October EUROGROWTH indicator, growth in the euro area will remain steady with growth of 0.7 and 0.6 per cent in the third and fourth quarters of 2015, respectively. The recovery is, however, driven by the effects of positive external shocks that will fade soon, and it remains uncertain whether a self-sustained upward momentum will unfold.

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Euro Growth Indicator September 2015

Euro Area Recovery Is Holding Steady – So Far

Growth in the euro area will pick up to a rate of 0.6 per cent in the third quarter and decelerate only slightly to 0.5 per cent in the final quarter of 2015, according to the September EUROGROWTH indicator. The recent deterioration of economic sentiment, however, flashes a warning light and indicates that the risks for the recovery may have risen.

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